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Apple crop losses through the Champlain Valley due to tropical storm Floyd range between 30 to 75%, with an average loss of about 50%. Along with actual crop loss due to fruit drop, there is the decrease in pack-out due to damaged fruit. In one orchard, pack-out decreased by 10 to 15% following Floyd. Crop production in the southern part of the state appears to be at a record high in several orchards. This high production is accompanied by great fruit quality. Although the statistics in table 2 were reported in August, I believe that the numbers for Vermont will be close to them when all the in-loading is done because the losses by the Champlian Valley growers will be averaged out by the higher production in orchards in the southern part of the state. Total Canadian production for 1999 is projected to be at 28.8 million bushels, a 6% increase from 1998. The projected production for the major Western European countries is estimated at 420 million bushels, a 9% increase from last year's production. Of the largest products, French production is forecast to be up 15%, Spain up 12%, Italy up 2%, and Germany with a 4% decrease in production. China's production is estimated at 20.9 million tons up 1.4 million tons from 1998. Although Red and Golden Delicious are the dominating varieties in the U.S., the trend in production indicates a less dominant role in the future. In 1999 the combined production for Red and Golden Delicious are forecast to make up 47% of total U.S. production, a 10% decline from 1994. This decline is due to the increasing production of newer varieties such as Gala and Fuji, and the gradual removal of less profitable Red Delicious orchards. Macintosh production will be 31% higher in 1999 than in 1998 due to improved growing conditions in New England, (table 3)
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